Mission reliability modeling and evaluation for reconfigurable unmanned weapon system-of-systems based on effective operation loop

doi:10.23919/JSEE.2023.000082

Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics ›› 2023, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (3): 588-597.doi: 10.23919/JSEE.2023.000082

• COMPLEX SYSTEMS THEORY AND PRACTICE • Previous Articles

Mission reliability modeling and evaluation for reconfigurable unmanned weapon system-of-systems based on effective operation loop

Zhiwei CHEN¹(), Ziming ZHOU²^,*(), Luogeng ZHANG¹(), Chaowei CUI¹(), Jilong ZHONG³()

¹ Unmanned System Research Institute, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710109, China
² College of Science, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China
³ National Institute of Defense Technology Innovation, Academy of Military Science, Beijing 100091, China

Received:2022-08-31 Online:2023-06-15 Published:2023-06-30
Contact: Ziming ZHOU E-mail:czw@nwpu.edu.cn;zhouziming@mail.nwpu.edu.cn;zlg1263299410@163.com;ccw@mail.nwpu.edu.cn;z_jilong@sina.cn
About author:
CHEN Zhiwei was born in 1991. He received his Ph.D. degree from the School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China, in 2020. He is currently an associate professor of Unmanned System Research Institute, Northwestern Polytechnical University. His research interests are reliability and safety analysis, and system-of-systems resilience. E-mail: czw@nwpu.edu.cn

ZHOU Ziming was born in 1999. He received his bachelor ’s degree in information and computing science from Northwestern Polytechnical University. He is currently studying mathematics at the University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, pursuing his master ’s degree. His research interest is unmanned aerial vehicle trajectory planning. E-mail: zhouziming@mail.nwpu.edu.cn

ZHANG Luogeng was born in 2000. He received his bachelor’s degree in mechanical design manufacture and automation from Chang ’an University. He is currently pursuing his master ’s degree at Unmanned System Research Institute, Northwestern Polytechnical University. His research interest is multi-agent resilience. E-mail: zlg1263299410@163.com

CUI Chaowei was born in 2000. He graduated from the School of Automotive Engineering, Wuhan University of Technology with a bachelor’s degree in 2022, and is currently pursuing his postgraduate degree with Unmanned System Research Institute, Northwestern Polytechnical University. His research interests are unmanned aerial vehicle motion planning and tracking control. E-mail: ccw@mail.nwpu.edu.cn

ZHONG Jilong was born in 1990. He received his bachelor ’s and master ’s and Ph.D. degrees from Air Force Engineering University. He is an engineer at National Institute of Defense Techno-logy Innovation. His research interests are complex network and system reliability. E-mail: z_jilong@sina.cn
Supported by:
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (72101270; 72001213)

Abstract

Abstract:

The concept of unmanned weapon system-of-systems (UWSoS) involves a collection of various unmanned systems to achieve or accomplish a specific goal or mission. The mission reliability of UWSoS is represented by its ability to finish a required mission above the baselines of a given mission. However, issues with heterogeneity, cooperation between systems, and the emergence of UWSoS cannot be effectively solved by traditional system reliability methods. This study proposes an effective operation-loop-based mission reliability evaluation method for UWSoS by analyzing dynamic reconfiguration. First, we present a new connotation of an effective operation loop by considering the allocation of operational entities and physical resource constraints. Then, we propose an effective operation-loop-based mission reliability model for a heterogeneous UWSoS according to the mission baseline. Moreover, a mission reliability evaluation algorithm is proposed under random external shocks and topology reconfiguration, revealing the evolution law of the effective operation loop and mission reliability. Finally, a typical 60-unmanned-aerial-vehicle-swarm is taken as an example to demonstrate the proposed models and methods. The mission reliability is achieved by considering external shocks, which can serve as a reference for evaluating and improving the effectiveness of UWSoS.

Key words: mission reliability, unmanned weapon, system-of-systems, dynamic reconfiguration, effective operation loop

Zhiwei CHEN, Ziming ZHOU, Luogeng ZHANG, Chaowei CUI, Jilong ZHONG. Mission reliability modeling and evaluation for reconfigurable unmanned weapon system-of-systems based on effective operation loop[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2023, 34(3): 588-597.

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References 35

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Network mode	Implication
$ {T}_{i}\to {S}_{i} $	How sensor equipment detects enemy targets and obtains intelligence information
$ {S}_{i}\to {S}_{i} $	How one piece of sensor equipment exchanges intelligence information with another
$ {S}_{i}\to {D}_{i} $	How sensor equipment uploads the detected intelligence information to the decider equipment
$ {D}_{i}\to {D}_{i} $	How one piece of decider equipment exchanges intelligence information with another
$ {D}_{i}\to {S}_{i} $	How the decider equipment transmits orders to the sensor equipment
$ {D}_{i}\to {I}_{i} $	How the decider equipment transmits orders to the influencer equipment
$ {I}_{i}\to {T}_{i} $	How influencer equipment attacks or harasses target equipment

Parameter	Value	Parameter	Value
$ N $	1000	$ T $	100
$ {M}_{s} $	0.6	${P}_{{\rm{SS}}}$	0.6
${P}_{{\rm{SD}}}$	0.8	${P}_{{\rm{DI}}}$	0.9
${P}_{{\rm{IT}}}$	0.7	${P}_{{\rm{TS}}}$	0.7
$ {\lambda }_{S} $	0.0005	$ {\mu }_{S} $	0.002
$ {\lambda }_{D} $	0.00025	$ {\mu }_{D} $	0.007
$ {\lambda }_{I} $	0.0003	$ {\mu }_{I} $	0.0025

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Mission reliability modeling and evaluation for reconfigurable unmanned weapon system-of-systems based on effective operation loop

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