Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics ›› 2019, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (2): 288-296.doi: 10.21629/JSEE.2019.02.08

• Systems Engineering • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Modeling and solution based on stochastic games for development of COA under uncertainty

Chao CHEN1,*(), Zhengjun DU2(), Xingxing LIANG1(), Jianmai SHI1(), Hao ZHANG3()   

  1. 1 Science and Technology on Information Systems Engineering Laboratory, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China
    2 Unit 61683 of the PLA, Beijing 100094, China
    3 Naval War Gaming Center, Naval Command College, Nanjing 210016, China
  • Received:2017-09-14 Online:2019-04-01 Published:2019-04-28
  • Contact: Chao CHEN E-mail:changshacc@163.com;outstandingdzj@163.com;doublestarl@163.com;jianmaishi@gmail.com;zhanghaocs@163.com
  • About author:CHEN Chao was born in 1977. He received his M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from National University of Defense Technology in 2003 and 2007. He is now an associate research fellow at National University of Defense Technology. His research interests include task assignment, mission planning, and the COA. E-mail:changshacc@163.com|DU Zhengjun was born in 1982. He received his M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from National University of Defense Techenology in 2008 and 2013. He is now an engineer in Unit 61683 of the PLA. His research interests include analysis of the system of systems and operation planning. E-mail:outstandingdzj@163.com|LIANG Xingxing was born in 1992. He received his B.Sc. degree from National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, Hunan, China, in 2014. He received his M.S. degree in military training from National University of Defense Technology in 2016. He is currently pursuing his Ph.D. degree in management science and engineering at National University of Defense Technology. His current research interests include task assignment and intelligence planning. E-mail:doublestarl@163.com|SHI Jianmai was born in 1980. He is an associate research fellow in National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, Hunan, China, and a researcher of Science and Technology on Information Systems Engineering Laboratory. His main research interests include task assignment, mission planning and supply chain management. E-mail:jianmaishi@gmail.com|ZHANG Hao was born in 1983. He received his M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from National University of Defense Technology. He is now a lecturer at Naval Command College. His research interests include complex networks and automated planning. E-mail:zhanghaocs@163.com
  • Supported by:
    the Natural Science Foundation of China(71471174);This work was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China (71471174)

Abstract:

Developing a course of action (COA) is a key step in military planning. In most extant studies on the COA development, only the unilateral actions of friendly forces are considered. Based on stochastic games, we propose models that could deal with the complexities and uncertainties of wars. By analyzing the equilibrium state of both opponent sides, outcomes preferable to one side could be achieved by adopting the methods obtained from the proposed models. This research could help decision makers take the right COA in a state of uncertainty.

Key words: course of action (COA), uncertainty of antagonism outcomes, stochastic games